Carlisle United 0-2 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.95
Over
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.67
No
45%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.36
2-3
43%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.2
6+
10%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.97
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
13%
4.98
X/2
7%
6.76
X/X
8%
4.88
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
16%
4.75
2/X
6%
13.45
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlisle United The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale The Market 33%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better
Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better
Attackvs comparable teams Average
Defensevs comparable teams Great
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
205 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlisle United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rochdale
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.12 xG 0.98
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
243 Passes 315
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 2-1 HT 1-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United HAZ
28.01.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 0-1 HT 0-1 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
03.09.2022 Carlisle United Carlisle United 3-3 HT 1-1 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
29.03.2022 Rochdale Rochdale 2-0 HT 1-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
01.03.2022 Carlisle United Carlisle United 2-0 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
27.08.2019 Rochdale Rochdale 2-1 HT 2-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlisle United
0-2
AWAY Rochdale
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Carlisle United vs Rochdale
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rochdale saw off Carlisle United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned Carlisle United at 45% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The one blemish: both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Carlisle United had 46% of the ball to Rochdale's 54%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rochdale led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Carlisle United and 1.50 for Rochdale.

Carlisle United vs Rochdale Result & Final Score

Carlisle United 0-2 Rochdale in the England - National League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Carlisle United vs Rochdale Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Carlisle United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 45%, draw 24%, Rochdale 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Carlisle United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carlisle United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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