Rochdale vs Carlisle United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Rochdale v Carlisle United — Team-Based Signals
Rochdale vs Carlisle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Rochdale 2-1 Carlisle United — Actual Match Statistics
Rochdale came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Carlisle United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Rochdale made the difference.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 49%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.57, roughly 64%.
On the day, Rochdale had 49% of the ball to Carlisle United's 51%, shots finished 9-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rochdale had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rochdale and 1.17 for Carlisle United.
Rochdale vs Carlisle United Result & Final Score
Rochdale 2-1 Carlisle United in the Friendlies on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Rochdale vs Carlisle United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Carlisle United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 31%, draw 30%, Carlisle United 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.