Espanyol 0-0 Girona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.04
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.04 — our 29% vs market 19.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
6.49
1/2
10%
21.85
1/X
11%
14.7
X/1
8%
8.96
X/2
12%
4.16
X/X
8%
5.5
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.25
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+8.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona EU Bookmakers 57%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.72/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.89
-44% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Girona
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.52 xG 1.45
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
320 Passes 311
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2023 Girona Girona 2-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
07.01.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 2-2 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS1
23.01.2021 Girona Girona 1-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
20.11.2020 Espanyol Espanyol 1-2 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS2
06.04.2019 Girona Girona 1-2 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
25.11.2018 Espanyol Espanyol 1-3 HT 0-2 Girona Girona İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
0-0
AWAY Girona
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Girona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol and Girona fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Girona at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Espanyol had 40% of the ball to Girona's 60%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Espanyol and 1.83 for Girona.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Girona?

Espanyol 0-0 Girona in the Friendlies on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Girona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 32%, draw 26%, Girona 42%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Girona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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