Vissel Kobe 2-3 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.12
2-3 Goals
40%
2.2
4-5 Goals
22%
2.45
6+ Goals
18%
4.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
5.62
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
18.2
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
5%
9.3
X/2
20%
4.48
X/X
8%
7.31
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
18%
2.12
2/X
7%
14.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.2 — our 11% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.2pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.2pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +96%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
Crosses 16.9
Yellow Cards 0.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
2-3
AWAY Tottenham
1.13 xG 2.43
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
210 Passes 667
81% Pass Accuracy 92%
14 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham nicked a narrow win over Vissel Kobe 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tottenham as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 28% of the ball to Tottenham's 72%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 1.13 to 2.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tottenham's control.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Tottenham?

Vissel Kobe 2-3 Tottenham in the Friendlies on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 29%, draw 22%, Tottenham 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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