Merthyr Town 2-3 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 7 Feb 2026

Merthyr Town
2 - 3 HT 2 - 2
Chorley
📅07/02/2026 · 🕒18:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Conference – 2025/2026

Merthyr Town vs Chorley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.43
Over Pick
64%
1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.45
No
37%
2.56
Total Goals
0-1
17%
5.03
2-3
42%
1.95
4-5
30%
2.62
6+
11%
6.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

Merthyr Town v Chorley — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Merthyr Town The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley The Market 43%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.34 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.23
1.85 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.60
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Bad Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1 Yellow Cards 2

Merthyr Town vs Chorley Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merthyr Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chorley
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
25.10.2025 Chorley Chorley 0-2 HT 0-1 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İCON

Merthyr Town 2-3 Chorley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merthyr Town
2 - 3
AWAY Chorley
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Merthyr Town vs Chorley
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Chorley nicked a narrow win over Merthyr Town 3-2 on the road. Level at 2-2 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

The model refused to pick a side here (36% / 26% / 38%); Chorley picked one for it. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Merthyr Town had 56% of the ball to Chorley's 44%, shots finished 13-20.

Merthyr Town vs Chorley Result & Final Score

Merthyr Town 2 - 3 Chorley in the England - Conference on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Merthyr Town vs Chorley Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Merthyr Town 36%, draw 26%, Chorley 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chorley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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