Chorley vs Merthyr Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chorley v Merthyr Town — Team-Based Signals
Chorley 0-2 Merthyr Town — Actual Match Statistics
Merthyr Town beat Chorley 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chorley at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Chorley had 29% of the ball to Merthyr Town's 71%, shots finished 5-15.
Chorley vs Merthyr Town Result & Final Score
Chorley 0 - 2 Merthyr Town in the England - Conference on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chorley vs Merthyr Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Chorley 69%, draw 17%, Merthyr Town 13%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.