Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 Bath City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bath City EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.58/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.32
+6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bath City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Bath City Bath City 0-0 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
31.08.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 4-2 HT 4-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
12.03.2024 Bath City Bath City 2-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
21.11.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
07.03.2023 Bath City Bath City 1-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
06.12.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0
AWAY Bath City
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Bath City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town nicked a narrow win over Bath City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hemel Hempstead Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 60% of the ball to Bath City's 40%, shots finished 12-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 0.83 for Bath City.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Bath City?

Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 Bath City in the England - Conference on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Bath City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 45%, draw 29%, Bath City 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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