Hemel Hempstead Town 4-2 Bath City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.06
6+ Goals
11%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bath City EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.21/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.42
-21% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bath City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Bath City Bath City 2-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
21.11.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
07.03.2023 Bath City Bath City 1-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
06.12.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
19.03.2022 Bath City Bath City 2-1 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
15.01.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
4-2
AWAY Bath City
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Bath City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town saw off Bath City 4-2. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Hemel Hempstead Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 44% of the ball to Bath City's 56%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bath City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.00 for Bath City.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Bath City?

Hemel Hempstead Town 4-2 Bath City in the England - Conference on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Bath City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 39%, draw 27%, Bath City 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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