Alfreton Town vs Farsley AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfreton Town v Farsley AFC — Team-Based Signals
Alfreton Town vs Farsley AFC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Farsley AFC
İCON
1-0
HT 0-0
Farsley AFC
İCON
0-0
HT 0-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
0-0
HT 0-0
Farsley AFC
İCON
0-3
HT 0-1
Alfreton Town
İCON
Alfreton Town 2-1 Farsley AFC — Actual Match Statistics
Alfreton Town nicked a narrow win over Farsley AFC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alfreton Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alfreton Town had 64% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 36%, shots finished 9-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alfreton Town and 0.33 for Farsley AFC.
What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Farsley AFC?
Alfreton Town 2-1 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Farsley AFC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 48%, draw 28%, Farsley AFC 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfreton Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.