Oxford City 2-2 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.29
6+ Goals
12%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 30% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-8.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley EU Bookmakers 50%
+16% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
1.79/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.05
+38% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
POST-MATCH Oxford City vs Chorley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford City and Chorley couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Oxford City vs Chorley?

Oxford City 2-2 Chorley in the England - Conference on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Chorley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 35%, draw 27%, Chorley 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chorley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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