Torquay United 1-1 Aveley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.99
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.12
6+ Goals
9%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 28% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Aveley EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
2.08/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.16
+12% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Aveley
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
24.02.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 2-2 HT 2-1 Aveley Aveley İCON
02.09.2023 Aveley Aveley 2-1 HT 1-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
1-1
AWAY Aveley
68% Ball Possession 32%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Aveley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United and Aveley shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Torquay United at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Torquay United had 68% of the ball to Aveley's 32%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aveley led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Torquay United and 2.00 for Aveley.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Aveley?

Torquay United 1-1 Aveley in the England - Conference on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Aveley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 54%, draw 24%, Aveley 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torquay United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torquay United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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