Eastbourne Borough 2-2 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 30% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.40/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.74
+8% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 3-2 HT 1-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
26.10.2021 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 4-3 HT 1-2 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
06.10.2020 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-3 HT 0-3 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
01.01.2020 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 3-2 HT 0-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
26.12.2019 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 4-0 HT 2-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough and Dorking Wanderers shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dorking Wanderers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 3.00 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Dorking Wanderers?

Eastbourne Borough 2-2 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 34%, draw 23%, Dorking Wanderers 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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