Farsley AFC 2-3 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.34
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.03/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.45
-18% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farsley AFC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Alfreton Town
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
07.01.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
13.08.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
12.03.2022 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
25.09.2021 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-3 HT 0-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
14.11.2020 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 3-1 HT 3-1 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farsley AFC
2-3
AWAY Alfreton Town
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farsley AFC vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town nicked a narrow win over Farsley AFC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Alfreton Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Farsley AFC had 53% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 47%, shots finished 5-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Farsley AFC and 1.50 for Alfreton Town.

What was the final score of Farsley AFC vs Alfreton Town?

Farsley AFC 2-3 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farsley AFC vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Farsley AFC 31%, draw 31%, Alfreton Town 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfreton Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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