Worthing 1-3 Taunton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.3
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.56
2-3 Goals
43%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
13%
6.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
72%
-7.9pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.2pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Taunton Town EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.95/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.88
+47% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Taunton Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Taunton Town Taunton Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
22.04.2023 Taunton Town Taunton Town 3-2 HT 1-2 Worthing Worthing İCON
22.10.2022 Worthing Worthing 1-1 HT 1-1 Taunton Town Taunton Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
1-3
AWAY Taunton Town
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Taunton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taunton Town beat Worthing 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Worthing at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Worthing had 66% of the ball to Taunton Town's 34%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Taunton Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Worthing and 1.67 for Taunton Town.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Taunton Town?

Worthing 1-3 Taunton Town in the England - Conference on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Taunton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Worthing 65%, draw 18%, Taunton Town 18%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Worthing) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5
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