Scarborough Athletic 0-1 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.1
6+ Goals
6%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 33% vs market 29.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 49%
+18% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.47/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.54
+13% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +130%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scarborough Athletic
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tamworth
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Tamworth Tamworth 2-0 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scarborough Athletic
0-1
AWAY Tamworth
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Scarborough Athletic vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth edged past Scarborough Athletic 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tamworth as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 50% of the ball to Tamworth's 50%, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs Tamworth?

Scarborough Athletic 0-1 Tamworth in the England - Conference on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tamworth win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 27%, draw 28%, Tamworth 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tamworth), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tamworth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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