Yeovil 0-1 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 28% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 21%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
2.19/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.04
+16% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Welling United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Welling United Welling United 4-1 HT 1-1 Yeovil Yeovil İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeovil
0-1
AWAY Welling United
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welling United edged past Yeovil 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Yeovil at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Yeovil had 61% of the ball to Welling United's 39%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs Welling United?

Yeovil 0-1 Welling United in the England - Conference on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeovil win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 52%, draw 26%, Welling United 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Yeovil) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yeovil) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
9 Mar 2024
16:00 Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883 Analysis →
18:00 Worthing vs Taunton Town Analysis →
18:00 Hampton & Richmond vs Chippenham Town Analysis →
18:00 Gloucester City vs Boston United Analysis →
18:00 Farsley AFC vs Alfreton Town Analysis →
18:00 Scarborough Athletic vs Tamworth Analysis →