Eastbourne Borough 1-2 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.87
6+ Goals
7%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 35% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.25/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.41
-11% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
245 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Chesham United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.11.2024 Chesham United Chesham United 0-0 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
10.08.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-1 HT 0-0 Chesham United Chesham United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1-2
AWAY Chesham United
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesham United nicked a narrow win over Eastbourne Borough 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Eastbourne Borough at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 53% of the ball to Chesham United's 47%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 0.50 for Chesham United.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Chesham United?

Eastbourne Borough 1-2 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 41%, draw 30%, Chesham United 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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