Eastbourne Borough 1-1 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 30% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.7pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1-1
AWAY Chesham United
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough and Chesham United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 52% of the ball to Chesham United's 48%, shots finished 5-16.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Chesham United?

Eastbourne Borough 1-1 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 35%, draw 27%, Chesham United 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chesham United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesham United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
10 Aug 2024
17:00 Peterborough Sports vs Chorley Analysis →
17:00 Kings Lynn Town vs Warrington Town Analysis →
17:00 Curzon Ashton vs Needham Market Analysis →
17:00 Rushall Olympic vs Farsley AFC Analysis →
17:00 Tonbridge Angels vs Weymouth Analysis →
17:00 Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury Analysis →