Farnborough 1-0 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Oct 2025

Farnborough
1-0 HT 0-0
Maidenhead United
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2025/2026

Farnborough vs Maidenhead United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.14
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 27% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Farnborough v Maidenhead United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.99/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.52
-23% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +125%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.0

Farnborough vs Maidenhead United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
The Meetings
12.01.2015 Farnborough Farnborough 1-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İNFAT
10.01.2015 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-2 HT 0-1 Farnborough Farnborough İNFAT
09.09.2014 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
19.04.2014 Farnborough Farnborough 3-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İCON
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough edged past Maidenhead United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Maidenhead United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Farnborough had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Farnborough and 0.50 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Maidenhead United?

Farnborough 1-0 Maidenhead United in the England - Conference on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 25%, draw 27%, Maidenhead United 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maidenhead United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✓ Under 2.5
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