Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.7
6+ Goals
8%
7.06
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.69 — our 28% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.4
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
24.85
X/1
18%
3.77
X/2
5%
23.55
X/X
12%
8.81
2/1
11%
23.55
2/2
5%
21.3
2/X
5%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
76%
-12.1pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.0pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 11%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.69/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.29
+4% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
452 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
12.10.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 HT 2-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKCK
01.04.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
24.12.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-2 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
29.10.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
20.08.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
2-0
AWAY Kelty Hearts
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic saw off Kelty Hearts 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dunfermline Athletic as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Dunfermline Athletic had 62% of the ball to Kelty Hearts's 38%, shots finished 9-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dunfermline Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 0.60 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?

Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - Cup on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 64%, draw 22%, Kelty Hearts 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKK More Scotland - Cup
7 Feb 2026
18:00 Elgin City vs Partick Thistle Analysis →
20:30 Celtic vs Dundee FC Analysis →