Tochigi City 1-4 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.48
2-3 Goals
30%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
4.4
6+ Goals
9%
23.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.4 — our 27% vs market 16.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
25%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi City
1-4
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Tochigi City vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai ran out comfortable winners over Tochigi City 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Vegalta Sendai found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tochigi City had 55% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 45%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Tochigi City vs Vegalta Sendai?

Tochigi City 1-4 Vegalta Sendai in the JAP2-3 on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi City vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tochigi City 33%, draw 27%, Vegalta Sendai 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vegalta Sendai), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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