Omiya Ardija vs Matsumoto Yamaga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Omiya Ardija v Matsumoto Yamaga — Team-Based Signals
Omiya Ardija vs Matsumoto Yamaga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP2
0-0
HT 0-0
Omiya Ardija
JAP2
1-1
HT 0-1
Omiya Ardija
JAP2
1-0
HT 0-0
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP2
Omiya Ardija 2-1 Matsumoto Yamaga — Actual Match Statistics
Omiya Ardija squeezed past Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Omiya Ardija had 64% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 36%, shots finished 11-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Omiya Ardija and 0.50 for Matsumoto Yamaga.
What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Omiya Ardija 2-1 Matsumoto Yamaga in the JAP2-3 on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 68%, draw 17%, Matsumoto Yamaga 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.