Omiya Ardija vs Matsumoto Yamaga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Omiya Ardija v Matsumoto Yamaga — Team-Based Signals
Omiya Ardija vs Matsumoto Yamaga Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP2
0-0
HT 0-0
Omiya Ardija
JAP2
1-1
HT 0-1
Omiya Ardija
JAP2
1-0
HT 0-0
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP2
Omiya Ardija 0-2 Matsumoto Yamaga — Actual Match Statistics
Matsumoto Yamaga saw off Omiya Ardija 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Omiya Ardija at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Omiya Ardija had 50% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 50%, shots finished 13-16.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Omiya Ardija and 0.25 for Matsumoto Yamaga.
What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Omiya Ardija 0-2 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 48%, draw 24%, Matsumoto Yamaga 28%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.