Imabari 0-2 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imabari EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +13%
1.37/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.47
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
238 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 185 · 60%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Imabari
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 2-2 HT 1-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
16.04.2023 Imabari Imabari 3-2 HT 2-2 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
30.10.2022 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 2-3 HT 2-2 Imabari Imabari JAP3
20.03.2022 Imabari Imabari 2-1 HT 1-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
24.10.2021 Imabari Imabari 4-2 HT 1-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
26.06.2021 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-1 HT 0-1 Imabari Imabari JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imabari
0-2
AWAY Kataller Toyama
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Imabari vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama got the better of Imabari 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Imabari at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Imabari had 55% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 45%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Imabari had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Imabari and 1.67 for Kataller Toyama.

What was the final score of Imabari vs Kataller Toyama?

Imabari 0-2 Kataller Toyama in the Japan - J3 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imabari vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Imabari 42%, draw 29%, Kataller Toyama 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Imabari), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Imabari) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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