Osaka 0-1 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 May 2024

Osaka
0-1 HT 0-1
Ryukyu
📅06/05/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osaka EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.16/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.39
-18% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osaka
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ryukyu
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-3 HT 0-2 Osaka Osaka JAP3
18.06.2023 Osaka Osaka 3-0 HT 1-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osaka
0-1
AWAY Ryukyu
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osaka vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu nicked a narrow win over Osaka 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Osaka at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Osaka had 51% of the ball to Ryukyu's 49%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Osaka had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Osaka and 0.50 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Osaka vs Ryukyu?

Osaka 0-1 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osaka vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Osaka 42%, draw 28%, Ryukyu 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Osaka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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