Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
49%
Away Win
43%
+5.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.19/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.50
-1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +139%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-2 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
05.03.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
24.07.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-2 HT 0-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
05.06.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
29.08.2021 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
21.03.2021 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-1 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0-1
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano squeezed past Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Parceiro Nagano as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 60% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 40%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.67 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Parceiro Nagano?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 25%, draw 26%, Parceiro Nagano 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parceiro Nagano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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