Aguilas Doradas 3-2 Cucuta Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Feb 2026

Aguilas Doradas
3-2 HT 1-2
Cucuta Deportivo
📅07/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2026

Aguilas Doradas vs Cucuta Deportivo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.64
Over
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
40%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aguilas Doradas v Cucuta Deportivo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cucuta Deportivo EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -11%
1.28/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.51
-4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.3
18.8 Crosses 10.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Aguilas Doradas vs Cucuta Deportivo Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Cucuta Deportivo
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.78 xG 0.89
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
366 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
07.11.2020 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-1 HT 0-0 Cucuta Deportivo Cucuta Deportivo KOL
16.07.2019 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-3 HT 0-1 Cucuta Deportivo Cucuta Deportivo KOL
27.01.2019 Cucuta Deportivo Cucuta Deportivo 3-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
01.11.2015 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 2-0 Cucuta Deportivo Cucuta Deportivo KOL

Aguilas Doradas 3-2 Cucuta Deportivo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
3-2
AWAY Cucuta Deportivo
2.37 xG 1.16
43% Ball Possession 57%
22 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
210 Passes 298
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Cucuta Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas edged past Cucuta Deportivo 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aguilas Doradas as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 43% of the ball to Cucuta Deportivo's 57%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 2.37 to 1.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aguilas Doradas's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.75 for Cucuta Deportivo.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Cucuta Deportivo?

Aguilas Doradas 3-2 Cucuta Deportivo in the Colombia - Primera on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Cucuta Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 53%, draw 26%, Cucuta Deportivo 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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