Miedz Legnica 1-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 7 Feb 2026

Miedz Legnica
1-1 HT 1-1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
📅07/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.6pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Miedz Legnica v Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.14/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.59
+19% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miedz Legnica
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.08.2025 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 4-0 HT 2-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1

Miedz Legnica 1-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miedz Legnica
1-1
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miedz Legnica and Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Miedz Legnica carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Miedz Legnica had 55% of the ball to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's 45%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Miedz Legnica 1-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - 1st Division on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Miedz Legnica 55%, draw 23%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Miedz Legnica), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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