Progreso 0-3 Central Espanol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.16
No
47%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progreso EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Espanol EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+5% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progreso
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Central Espanol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 7
25.09.2022 Central Espanol Central Espanol 1-1 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Progreso
0-3
AWAY Central Espanol
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Progreso vs Central Espanol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Espanol cruised past Progreso 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Progreso at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Progreso had 50% of the ball to Central Espanol's 50%, shots finished 5-14.

What was the final score of Progreso vs Central Espanol?

Progreso 0-3 Central Espanol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progreso vs Central Espanol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Progreso 47%, draw 26%, Central Espanol 28%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Progreso) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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7 Feb 2026
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