Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.0pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
0.97/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.97
-12% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
249 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2025 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-1 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
18.06.2025 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
07.04.2025 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
05.11.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
08.07.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
29.04.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-2 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
1-1
AWAY Defensor Sporting
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
FAQ Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Montevideo Wanderers and Defensor Sporting shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Uruguay - Premier League on 7 Feb 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 50% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 50%, shots finished 17-11.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting lead the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.00 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting?

Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 30%, draw 32%, Defensor Sporting 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Defensor Sporting), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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7 Feb 2026
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