Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensor Sporting v Montevideo Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
Defensor Sporting 2-1 Montevideo Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting edged past Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 in the Uruguay - Premier League on 7 Oct 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Defensor Sporting had 52% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 48%, shots finished 10-10.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting have the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Defensor Sporting and 0.67 for Montevideo Wanderers.
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers?
Defensor Sporting 2-1 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 48%, draw 29%, Montevideo Wanderers 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.