AE Larissa 1-4 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.26
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.96
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.6
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.25
X/1
17%
4.17
X/2
6%
8.39
X/X
13%
3.94
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
12%
7.49
2/X
7%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 25%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.58/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.23
+7% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
19.1 Crosses 14.8
4.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AE Larissa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Panaitolikos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.16 xG 1.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
264 Passes 275
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2025 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-0 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
01.08.2025 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-1 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos HAZ
03.04.2021 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
28.02.2021 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
07.12.2020 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-1 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
15.06.2020 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-0 HT 0-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AE Larissa
1-4
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.24 xG 0.48
69% Ball Possession 31%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
464 Passes 172
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AE Larissa vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos ran out comfortable winners over AE Larissa 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AE Larissa at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AE Larissa had 69% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 31%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.24 to 0.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured AE Larissa.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panaitolikos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AE Larissa and 1.67 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of AE Larissa vs Panaitolikos?

AE Larissa 1-4 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Super League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AE Larissa vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a AE Larissa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AE Larissa 50%, draw 27%, Panaitolikos 23%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AE Larissa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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YUN More Greece - Super League
7 Feb 2026
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