Manchester City (K) 0-1 Chelsea (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's League Cup, 7 Mar 2024

Manchester City (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
Chelsea (K)
📅07/03/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
England - Women's League Cup – 2023/2024

Manchester City (K) vs Chelsea (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.5pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.6pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester City (K) v Chelsea (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
335 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Manchester City (K) vs Chelsea (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City (K)
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chelsea (K)
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
346 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.02.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
08.12.2019 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
14.04.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 1-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKFAK
10.02.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-2 HT 2-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
09.09.2018 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
15.04.2018 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 2-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKFAK

Manchester City (K) 0-1 Chelsea (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City (K)
0-1
AWAY Chelsea (K)
1.73 xG 0.74
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
527 Passes 259
91% Pass Accuracy 79%
36 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester City (K) vs Chelsea (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) nicked a narrow win over Manchester City (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Chelsea (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Manchester City (K) had 64% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 36%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.73 to 0.74 — on chances, Manchester City (K) could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Manchester City (K) and 1.00 for Chelsea (K).

What was the final score of Manchester City (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Manchester City (K) 0-1 Chelsea (K) in the England - Women's League Cup on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Manchester City (K) 37%, draw 33%, Chelsea (K) 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Manchester City (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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