Casertana 1-1 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.56
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.61
6+ Goals
10%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.29/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.38
-3% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29.10.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-4 HT 0-2 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
1-1
AWAY Audace Cerignola
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana and Audace Cerignola couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Casertana at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Casertana had 50% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 50%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Audace Cerignola?

Casertana 1-1 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Casertana 46%, draw 29%, Audace Cerignola 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Casertana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casertana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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