Nuova Monterosi 1-0 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.9
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nuova Monterosi EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.17/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/1.53
-5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +120% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nuova Monterosi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.10.2023 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 0-2 HT 0-1 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nuova Monterosi
1-0
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
30% Ball Possession 70%
2 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nuova Monterosi vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nuova Monterosi squeezed past Sorrento Calcio 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Nuova Monterosi found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nuova Monterosi had 30% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 70%, shots finished 2-10.

What was the final score of Nuova Monterosi vs Sorrento Calcio?

Nuova Monterosi 1-0 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nuova Monterosi vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nuova Monterosi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nuova Monterosi 38%, draw 30%, Sorrento Calcio 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nuova Monterosi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nuova Monterosi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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