Awassa Kenema 3-1 Shashemene Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Shashemene Kenema EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Awassa Kenema
3-1
AWAY Shashemene Kenema
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Awassa Kenema vs Shashemene Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Awassa Kenema beat Shashemene Kenema 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Awassa Kenema as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Awassa Kenema had 44% of the ball to Shashemene Kenema's 56%, shots finished 14-14.

What was the final score of Awassa Kenema vs Shashemene Kenema?

Awassa Kenema 3-1 Shashemene Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Awassa Kenema vs Shashemene Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Awassa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Awassa Kenema 41%, draw 24%, Shashemene Kenema 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Awassa Kenema) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Awassa Kenema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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