Mekelakeya 0-1 Bahardar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.1pp
38%
Draw
30%
+7.0pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.9pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.5pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahardar EU Bookmakers 37%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+48% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
365 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
0-1
AWAY Bahardar
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Bahardar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar edged past Mekelakeya 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 38% / 32% — and on the day Bahardar made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 48% of the ball to Bahardar's 52%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?

Mekelakeya 0-1 Bahardar in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 31%, draw 38%, Bahardar 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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