Brezilya (K) 3-0 Meksika (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's, 7 Mar 2024

Brezilya (K)
3-0 HT 2-0
Meksika (K)
📅07/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's – 2024

Brezilya (K) vs Meksika (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
49%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brezilya (K) v Meksika (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brezilya (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Meksika (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Brezilya (K) vs Meksika (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brezilya (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Meksika (K)
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.01 xG 0.76
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
370 Passes 216
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.12.2019 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 4-0 HT 3-0 Meksika (K) Meksika (K) HAZ
13.12.2019 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 6-0 HT 2-0 Meksika (K) Meksika (K) HAZ

Brezilya (K) 3-0 Meksika (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brezilya (K)
3-0
AWAY Meksika (K)
2.39 xG 0.35
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
373 Passes 123
81% Pass Accuracy 55%
38 Box Touches 5
31 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brezilya (K) vs Meksika (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya (K) cruised past Meksika (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brezilya (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Brezilya (K) had 68% of the ball to Meksika (K)'s 32%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 2.39 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Brezilya (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for Brezilya (K) and 0.00 for Meksika (K).

What was the final score of Brezilya (K) vs Meksika (K)?

Brezilya (K) 3-0 Meksika (K) in the CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brezilya (K) vs Meksika (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brezilya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Brezilya (K) 47%, draw 23%, Meksika (K) 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brezilya (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brezilya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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