Fraijanes 3-2 Peten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemela - Premier League Apertura, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
35%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
Over Pick
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
37%
4-5
34%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
61%
-16.4pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
18%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fraijanes The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Peten The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
449 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fraijanes
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Peten
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
21.01.2024 Peten 2-0 Fraijanes GUAP
16.08.2023 Fraijanes 0-1 HT 0-1 Peten GUAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fraijanes
3-2
AWAY Peten
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Fraijanes vs Peten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fraijanes squeezed past Peten 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fraijanes as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fraijanes had 58% of the ball to Peten's 42%, shots finished 12-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Peten led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Fraijanes and 1.50 for Peten.

What was the final score of Fraijanes vs Peten?

Fraijanes 3-2 Peten in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fraijanes vs Peten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fraijanes win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fraijanes 45%, draw 20%, Peten 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fraijanes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fraijanes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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