07/03/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Heredia vs Cuilapa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No Pick
62%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
26%
Home Win
5%
25%
Draw
9%
50%
Away Win
85%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heredia v Cuilapa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Heredia
The Market 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Cuilapa
The Market 91%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
42%
Ball Possession
58%
9
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
7
3
Corners
5
233 · 69%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
365 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Heredia vs Cuilapa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Heredia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Cuilapa
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
45%
Ball Possession
55%
11
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
1
5
Corners
4
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Heredia vs Cuilapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Heredia beat Cuilapa 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Cuilapa at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (62%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Heredia vs Cuilapa?
Heredia 2-0 Cuilapa in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heredia vs Cuilapa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cuilapa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Heredia 26%, draw 25%, Cuilapa 50%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Cuilapa), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Cuilapa)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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GUAP
More Guatemela - Premier League Apertura
7 Mar 2024