Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Colo Colo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.7
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 35% vs market 33.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+10.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
45%
-10.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Colo Colo EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
1-1
AWAY Colo Colo
0.40 xG 1.39
20% Ball Possession 80%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
114 Passes 573
70% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Colo Colo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense and Colo Colo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 20% of the ball to Colo Colo's 80%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.40 to 1.39.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Colo Colo?

Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Colo Colo in the Copa Libertadores on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Colo Colo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Trinidense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 37%, draw 28%, Colo Colo 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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