Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
12%
15.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 22% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.82
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
15%
4.75
X/2
10%
7.3
X/X
13%
4.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.49
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cordoba EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.50/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/2.02
-12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
19.2 Crosses 19.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Cordoba
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.62 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
355 Passes 306
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Cordoba Cordoba 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
30.04.2023 Cordoba Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
03.12.2022 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS3
08.06.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 HT 1-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
20.10.2018 Cordoba Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
08.04.2015 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
1-1
AWAY Cordoba
1.81 xG 0.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
281 Passes 275
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna and Cordoba couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Coruna at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 51% of the ball to Cordoba's 49%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.81 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 0.83 for Cordoba.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Cordoba?

Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Cordoba in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 42%, draw 29%, Cordoba 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
7 Mar 2025
21:00 Eibar vs Almeria Analysis →