Eibar vs Almeria Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Eibar v Almeria — Team-Based Signals
Eibar vs Almeria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Eibar
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Almeria
İS2
2-0
HT 1-0
Eibar
İS1
5-2
HT 3-1
Almeria
İS1
0-1
HT 0-1
Almeria
İS2
Eibar 1-0 Almeria — Actual Match Statistics
Eibar nicked a narrow win over Almeria 1-0.
Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Eibar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Eibar had 45% of the ball to Almeria's 55%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.03 to 0.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Eibar and 1.17 for Almeria.
What was the final score of Eibar vs Almeria?
Eibar 1-0 Almeria in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Eibar vs Almeria?
Before kick-off our model rated an Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Eibar 33%, draw 28%, Almeria 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Almeria) went the other way.