Almeria 2-2 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 22 Sep 2024

Almeria
2-2 HT 0-1
Eibar
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Almeria vs Eibar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 30% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.44
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
22%
4.22
X/2
8%
8.32
X/X
17%
4.77
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
10%
6.33
2/X
7%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almeria v Eibar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.77/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.27
+15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
16.6 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Almeria vs Eibar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Eibar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.00 xG 0.89
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 Passes 226
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.01.2022 Almeria Almeria 0-2 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
15.10.2021 Eibar Eibar 1-0 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
26.04.2015 Almeria Almeria 2-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS1
08.12.2014 Eibar Eibar 5-2 HT 3-1 Almeria Almeria İS1
19.03.2006 Eibar Eibar 0-1 HT 0-1 Almeria Almeria İS2
16.10.2005 Almeria Almeria 1-1 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS2

Almeria 2-2 Eibar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria
2-2
AWAY Eibar
0.86 xG 0.68
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
456 Passes 198
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Almeria vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria and Eibar couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Almeria at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Almeria had 67% of the ball to Eibar's 33%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.86 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Almeria and 1.50 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Almeria vs Eibar?

Almeria 2-2 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Almeria 47%, draw 30%, Eibar 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Almeria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
22 Sep 2024
15:00 Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon Analysis →
17:15 Cartagena vs Cadiz Analysis →
17:15 CD Castellon vs Racing Santander Analysis →
19:30 Elche vs Mirandes Analysis →