CD Castellon 0-1 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.51
2-3 Goals
38%
2.01
4-5 Goals
27%
2.65
6+ Goals
12%
6.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.53
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
12%
4.9
X/2
12%
7.82
X/X
14%
5.87
2/1
5%
20.9
2/2
15%
4.85
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.2pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 32%
-22% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +24%
1.63/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.18
-66% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.5 Crosses 14.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
0-1
AWAY Racing Santander
1.67 xG 1.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
307 Passes 203
71% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander nicked a narrow win over CD Castellon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Racing Santander found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Castellon had 57% of the ball to Racing Santander's 43%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.67 to 1.96.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Racing Santander?

CD Castellon 0-1 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 39%, draw 28%, Racing Santander 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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