Cartagena 1-2 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 22 Sep 2024

Cartagena
1-2 HT 0-1
Cadiz
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Cartagena vs Cadiz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
6.29
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.68
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.1
X/1
9%
6.4
X/2
14%
4.23
X/X
15%
3.49
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.21
2/X
8%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.7pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cartagena v Cadiz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 46%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.04/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.54
-20% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
21.3 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Cartagena vs Cadiz Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Cadiz
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
The Meetings
07.12.2014 Cartagena Cartagena 1-3 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS3
27.04.2014 Cartagena Cartagena 1-1 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS3
10.12.2013 Cadiz Cadiz 0-0 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS3
12.03.2010 Cartagena Cartagena 4-1 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
11.10.2009 Cadiz Cadiz 1-3 HT 0-2 Cartagena Cartagena İS2

Cartagena 1-2 Cadiz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
1-2
AWAY Cadiz
0.48 xG 1.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 9
264 Passes 301
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 31
29 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz nicked a narrow win over Cartagena 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cadiz as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cartagena had 47% of the ball to Cadiz's 53%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.48 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cartagena had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Cartagena and 1.20 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs Cadiz?

Cartagena 1-2 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cadiz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 28%, draw 29%, Cadiz 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cadiz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cadiz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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