Tenerife 1-1 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.56
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.88
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
15%
4.18
X/2
8%
7.34
X/X
13%
3.59
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
13%
6.35
2/X
9%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.2pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.36/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.36
-19% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.2 Crosses 16.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 Passes 327
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Tenerife Tenerife 1-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
17.09.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-1 HT 1-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
25.02.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
30.09.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
13.03.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-2 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
21.08.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife
1-1
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.08 xG 0.55
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
427 Passes 248
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife and Sporting Gijon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tenerife at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Tenerife had 61% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 39%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.08 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tenerife and 1.17 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon?

Tenerife 1-1 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tenerife 45%, draw 28%, Sporting Gijon 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tenerife), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tenerife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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