Tenerife 1-2 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.09
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.19
No
66%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2.1
2-3 Goals
34%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
6.02
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.15
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
10%
4.23
X/2
8%
6.47
X/X
24%
3.5
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
16%
5.68
2/X
5%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-8.7pp
35%
Draw
29%
+5.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.6pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.40/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.24
-12% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.0 Crosses 16.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.02 xG 0.73
50% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
353 Passes 351
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-1 HT 1-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
25.02.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
30.09.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
13.03.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-2 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
21.08.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
09.04.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife
1-2
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.87 xG 0.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
295 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon nicked a narrow win over Tenerife 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 35% / 30%) promised a tight game; Sporting Gijon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tenerife had 51% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 49%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.87 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tenerife and 0.83 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon?

Tenerife 1-2 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tenerife 35%, draw 35%, Sporting Gijon 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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