Albacete 0-1 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.09
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 28% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.8
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
18.75
X/1
16%
3.41
X/2
8%
13.55
X/X
10%
5.35
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
9%
11.85
2/X
9%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-13.8pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.5pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 17%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.70/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.52
+20% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
18.0 Crosses 13.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Alcorcon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.17 xG 1.31
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
218 Passes 300
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2023 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-2 HT 0-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
03.05.2021 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
26.01.2021 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-2 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
02.07.2020 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
04.10.2019 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
07.04.2019 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-1 HT 0-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
0-1
AWAY Alcorcon
0.97 xG 1.43
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
419 Passes 195
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon squeezed past Albacete 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Albacete at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Albacete had 65% of the ball to Alcorcon's 35%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 0.97 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Albacete and 0.67 for Alcorcon.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Alcorcon?

Albacete 0-1 Alcorcon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Albacete 50%, draw 28%, Alcorcon 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Albacete) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albacete) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
20 Jan 2024
18:15 Amorebieta vs Eldense Analysis →
18:15 Real Zaragoza vs FC Andorra Analysis →
20:30 Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon Analysis →
20:30 Espanyol vs Villarreal II Analysis →
23:00 Racing Ferrol vs Real Oviedo Analysis →