Racing Ferrol 1-3 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.63
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.62
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
10%
4.8
X/2
11%
5.79
X/X
15%
3.49
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
16%
4.71
2/X
8%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.12/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.11
+6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.1 Crosses 19.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Oviedo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 0.57
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
236 Passes 372
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 0-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
20.04.2014 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS3
23.02.2003 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
21.09.2002 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-2 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
09.02.2002 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-1 HT 0-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
30.09.2001 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
1-3
AWAY Real Oviedo
0.52 xG 1.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 7
255 Passes 212
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo got the better of Racing Ferrol 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Real Oviedo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 53% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 47%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.52 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Racing Ferrol and 1.33 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Real Oviedo?

Racing Ferrol 1-3 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 36%, draw 29%, Real Oviedo 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
20 Jan 2024
16:00 Albacete vs Alcorcon Analysis →
18:15 Amorebieta vs Eldense Analysis →
18:15 Real Zaragoza vs FC Andorra Analysis →
20:30 Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon Analysis →
20:30 Espanyol vs Villarreal II Analysis →